Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 311.221001 353.958917 402.043797 460.468386 529.959539 610.495795 711.660731
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 241.696808 294.804338 360.163035 447.693851 563.671020 714.724069 930.859422
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 213.556775 272.863883 350.407373 461.556107 620.784090 847.204733 1206.203435
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 190.230200 251.817475 336.192367 463.805126 658.582942 956.691567 1473.496793
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 169.269222 230.399080 317.313135 454.609994 675.460083 1035.261684 1709.873611
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 155.219821 216.649079 306.985467 455.542863 706.619465 1141.062093 2021.622400
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 141.017251 200.887337 291.398042 445.300463 716.516681 1210.864592 2284.663276
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 130.781214 189.940118 281.760166 443.003111 739.033374 1307.380931 2632.792930
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 118.132247 174.011103 262.434897 421.480245 722.628013 1324.291044 2807.909197
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 114.764553 172.423815 266.181864 440.669119 786.094245 1517.794793 3480.537197
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 112.768635 172.796016 273.107736 466.378883 867.022222 1769.873916 4425.411164
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 106.962345 166.273403 267.396388 467.316349 896.391796 1910.496718 5119.722074
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 99.244363 156.081357 254.578897 453.467341 892.813159 1973.766524 5618.237726
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 92.477271 147.063350 243.149892 441.172659 891.095034 2043.044404 6184.887912
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 89.818246 145.019109 244.294649 454.761553 952.224265 2300.445611 7629.360735
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 85.952898 140.499333 240.330531 456.970584 986.205012 2491.754578 8960.195397
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 81.113955 133.856596 231.704641 447.944705 990.146608 2593.737814 9974.651316
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 77.805558 129.797612 227.762862 448.860439 1020.340199 2790.161859 11649.471037
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 73.598007 123.779580 219.442957 438.805781 1019.114360 2881.617122 12850.677897
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 70.515477 119.693184 214.696190 436.550391 1039.415984 3057.101299 14765.337195
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 65.812951 112.240027 202.543538 415.417949 1002.021566 3009.088800 15174.131744
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 65.215268 112.668345 206.714326 434.258974 1086.241484 3461.109729 19813.254568
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 65.138890 114.099466 213.103374 459.496669 1196.447156 4077.046123 27152.691491